Introducing 2019 Akinji BHC Market Exchange™

Akıncı

Akıncı

Jerktenant Cummander of Stingtalk Navy
Staff member
Joined
Mar 28, 2011
Messages
40,529
CURRENT PRICE: $3,035.16

The original post:

OK, so I think I did a better job this time.

I don't have any guess work on injuries, importance of a game, rivalry factors or all that other crap. I took Coit's preseason polls multiplied the number of responders with the scores then divided that by a thousand to come up with a preseason BHC price of $1774.01. Then I introduced two factors that change the price, one is the score. So 14/(52+14) is the .2121 and the probability for Clemson game was .23. So that drives the price up. The second one is the poll for next game, which I just introduced a short while ago, and that measures your confidence in the team and if the new polls results are lower then it drives up the price of the BHC for a second time for closing. So you'll have two prices each week. After the first week loss to Clemson the price is currently $1781.18. This price is good until Friday at 5pm.

The preseason poll results for the USF game was 0.644. If this week's poll is showing let's say for example 0.782 probability then Friday's closing price will be $1,586.23.

Then if Tech beats USF 28-7 the opening price on Monday will be $1582.18.

I'll send the spreadsheet to coit later and he can upload it to google sheets or whatever so y'all can see the calculations and play around with scenarios and what not.

You have $75,000 to start with, which is exactly @faujacket's net worth. The exchange charges you 3% per buy transaction after the initial buy in. You can also short BHC with 2% interest per week. Interest will be charged on the closing day one week after your short. If your short plus interest is over your portfolio's value with the closing price the following week then you're out of the game.

Any transactions you send between Friday at 5pm and gametime will be at closing price. Any transactions you post after the end of the game until next Friday will be at opening price. You can post transactions at any time. For NC State game the market will close on Wednesday at 5pm.

You can post your transactions in this thread.

edit: transactions posted during the game will also be subjected to opening price after the game.

Link to the spreadsheet I built for calculations

 
Last edited:
I know what I want to do, but not how to do it. This feels a lot like that night on the roof of Sarah's hotel. How do you get the pills out of someone's mouth if the only thing keeping them from plummeting to the ground and bringing the cops around is their teeth sunk into your hand? What's the best format for transactions? I don't want to say "Give me $500 on whenyousaybud driving someone to commit self-delete" if I just need to say "Buy $500" instead. Thanks in advance, your customer support team really knows how to listen. I needed that today. Five stars.

Hello
 
Akinji07 said:
The exchange charges you 3% per buy transaction after the initial buy in. You can also short BHC with 2% interest per week. Interest will be charged on the closing day one week after your short. If your short plus interest is over your portfolio's value with the closing price the following week then you're out of the game.
Click to expand...

Elizabeth and Bernie would be proud of your wealth confiscation scheme.
 
That was a serious question by the way. It's just that I need to confess one illegal act or three moral impurities per 2.5 posts. And I may need to step that up because every day I fall further behind my goal of attaining overly unity and calamity induction. I may have read that pamphlet wrong.
 
I recall failing spectacularly badly at this last year. I predict a repeat performance on my part ... :abused:
 
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Yours truly,

Prince Alyusi Islassis
 
Hey thanks @coit

I posted the spreadsheet in the original post above.
 
Akinji07 said:
I took Coit's preseason polls multiplied the number of responders with the scores then divided that by a thousand to come up with a preseason BHC price of $1774.01.
Click to expand...


So, if I am reading the sheet correctly, the opening price should be $968.99, right? That's what is summed up at the bottom of the "mult" column.
 
coit said:
So, if I am reading the sheet correctly, the opening price should be $968.99, right? That's what is summed up at the bottom of the "mult" column.
Click to expand...
Cell I-21 is the price calculation, then column N is the new price 1 (opening price) and column U is closing price. The only thing you have to change on the spreadsheet is column O which the next game poll results and put the scores in columns b and c
 
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