Win Probability

BigPlayCJ

BigPlayCJ

Varsity Lurker
Joined
Jul 26, 2016
Messages
134
Ripped this info from sbnation.com and their 2018 GT preview

Win Probability:
Alcorn State 98%
at USF 47%
at Pittsburgh 42%
Clemson 13%
Bowling Green 76%
at Louisville 32%
Duke 51%
at VT 27%
at North Carolina 44%
Miami 26%
Virginia 65%
at UGa 11%

Embarrassing, not sure what data this info is collected off of but it cant be right... Especially having Pitt, USF, and NC all below 50 and not even giving a shot vs VT and Miami.
 
BigPlayCJ said:
...but it cant be right...
Click to expand...

Well if you look those over, you will see that they figure we'll win 4 games (win probability > 0.5 in only 4 games) yet they forecast us to win 5.3 games.

So yeah, probably not right.

Here is the link if anyone would like to analyze further.
 
00Burdell said:
Well if you look those over, you will see that they figure we'll win 4 games (win probability > 0.5 in only 4 games) yet they forecast us to win 5.3 games.

So yeah, probably not right.

Here is the link if anyone would like to analyze further.
Click to expand...
Hahahaha great point.. I just don't get it
 
BigPlayCJ said:
Ripped this info from sbnation.com and their 2018 GT preview

Win Probability:
Alcorn State 98%
at USF 47%
at Pittsburgh 42%
Clemson 13%
Bowling Green 76%
at Louisville 32%
Duke 51%
at VT 27%
at North Carolina 44%
Miami 26%
Virginia 65%
at UGa 11%

Embarrassing, not sure what data this info is collected off of but it cant be right... Especially having Pitt, USF, and NC all below 50 and not even giving a shot vs VT and Miami.
Click to expand...
@coit.. take this info and make an entry for SB nation in the probability spreadsheet and see how well they do against everybody else.
 
Did Stingtalk do the win probability polling game this year?

I'm old. Might have missed it.
 
BigPlayCJ said:
Ripped this info from sbnation.com and their 2018 GT preview

Win Probability:
Alcorn State 98%
at USF 47%
at Pittsburgh 42%
Clemson 13%
Bowling Green 76%
at Louisville 32%
Duke 51%
at VT 27%
at North Carolina 44%
Miami 26%
Virginia 65%
at UGa 11%

Embarrassing, not sure what data this info is collected off of but it cant be right... Especially having Pitt, USF, and NC all below 50 and not even giving a shot vs VT and Miami.
Click to expand...
It is what it is.
 
BigPlayCJ said:
Ripped this info from sbnation.com and their 2018 GT preview

Win Probability:
Alcorn State 98%
at USF 47%
at Pittsburgh 42%
Clemson 13%
Bowling Green 76%
at Louisville 32%
Duke 51%
at VT 27%
at North Carolina 44%
Miami 26%
Virginia 65%
at UGa 11%

Embarrassing, not sure what data this info is collected off of but it cant be right... Especially having Pitt, USF, and NC all below 50 and not even giving a shot vs VT and Miami.
Click to expand...


I don't know about the data either.

Remember it was based on last years stats and doesn't include the progress GT made in practice over the last year.

This guy is saying that GT has a good chance at going 3 -9. (NO WAY) that I will except it!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top