Win Probability

You guys know that if a team has a projected 49% chance of winning each game, it doesn't mean they are projected as going 0-12. I thought this was a Tech board.

Also, their projections are total horseshit.
 
interchange said:
You guys know that if a team has a projected 49% chance of winning each game, it doesn't mean they are projected as going 0-12. I thought this was a Tech board.

Also, their projections are total horseshit.
Click to expand...
Obviously
 
interchange said:
You guys know that if a team has a projected 49% chance of winning each game, it doesn't mean they are projected as going 0-12. I thought this was a Tech board.

Also, their projections are total horseshit.
Click to expand...
I bet you think they're all independent events
 
FYI.

~50% chances vs Duke and USF means

25% chance of 2-0
50% chance of 1-1
25% chance of 0-2

So, 75% chance of winning at least 1 game.
 
gte490v said:
FYI.

~50% chances vs Duke and USF means

25% chance of 2-0
50% chance of 1-1
25% chance of 0-2

So, 75% chance of winning at least 1 game.
Click to expand...
Also 75% that we lose to one of those bottom dwellers.
 
These projections mean nothing. They are based on last season results. Although we limped to the finish, we were a few points/playable away from winning 3 more games and having a totally different set of projections.
 
JoeCakeEater said:
These projections mean nothing. They are based on last season results. Although we limped to the finish, we were a few points/playable away from winning 3 more games and having a totally different set of projections.
Click to expand...


You are so right JoeCakeEater. These stats are drawn up by someone that thinks he knows what a team will do based on the last season.
I guess he just likes sitting around and posting this stuff for something to do.
 
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