Exactly. The “sure thing” proven HC’s (Saban, Dabo, Day, Smart, Riley, Brian Kelly, Harbaugh, Fickell, etc) aren’t leaving their current program for GT. That leaves GT with the same pool of possible candidate’s that Auburn, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Colorado, ASU, etc will be looking at.
Deion
Mullen
Bronco
Chadwell
Wommack
O’Brien
Tyson Helton
Todd Monken
Leopold
As it relates to GT’s chances with the above, I’d say the following:
Deion - 30%
Mullen - 25%
Bronco - 10%
Chadwell - 50%
Wommack - 10%
O’Brien - 25%
Tyson Helton - 15%
Todd Monken - 15%
Leopold - 0%
Key - 50%
The coach who has proven he can win with less talent / develop talent is Brett Bielema. I think he would be a HR hire for GT. That said, I don’t think he comes back down to the SE to coach. I could see Nebraska going ”all in” on him.
Reality is, the only candidate we really know wants the job is Key. I’m sure by Thanksgiving weekend the potential hire will be known.